In light of this we elected to use the Major Paper Event Day 2 data from June, weighted at one third the normal amount to reflect a decaying influence. The month of July was a relatively quiet one for Modern events-our only major paper events for this period consist of three Star City Games Classics, in Worcester, Columbus, and Baltimore. This did not affect broad conclusions about the metagame.
They have subsequently been corrected, along with updates to the discussion. My guess is the truth lies somewhere in between the two extremes.Įditor's note: Due to an error in the spreadsheet reporting GR Tron decks incorrectly on MTGO, some initial numbers in this article were wrong. It's important to remember that while MTGO is hyper-efficient at solving metagames and generating consistent competitive finishes, it can also be something of a self-fulfilling prophecy as it becomes inbred and self-referential. I'll be listening, reading, and watching the pros in the coming weeks to see if they're favoring anything in particular, or if the consensus seems to be to play what you know. With Dredge specifically, there's also a chance that everyone gets the memo in time and comes packing ample hate to keep it down. As a result, I still think we'll see the paper metagame shift more towards Jund, Death's Shadow, and Dredge, which are all posting commanding shares on MTGO. But there are enough random elements in Modern to throw some of that homogeneity out once we get to the Grand Prix circuit, where people will inevitably pick up whatever they fancy and/or own. The MTGO data are showing a pretty ossified environment, which leads me to believe the grinders and pros have successfully iterated the format to a stable place. Some uncertainty exists surrounding the upcoming August Grand Prix weekend when Modern will come to the big stage in Lille, Indianapolis, and Guangzhou. The metagame overall seems to be in flux as the major events available to inform players' deck choices are getting increasingly older.
As I said, some things never change, and the sun never sets on certain empires-all hail King Jund.
Mtg modern meta full#
Riding atop it all is none other than the glorious Jund-the only archetype to rival Death's Shadow and Dredge's dominance on MTGO, while also boasting the clear "best deck" status with a full 3 percentage points above Affinity in the overall metagame share.
We're still seeing a pretty large discrepancy between the online and paper metagames, however, with Death's Shadow and Dredge hovering around the 10% posted last month. Death's Shadow Zoo, Dredge, and Eldrazi ascended to Tier 1, replacing Abzan Company and RG Tron. The month of July saw some metagame shifts portended the month before take concrete form, as the paper shares adjusted to more closely resemble MTGO results. Well, you know what they say: the more things change, the more they stay the same.
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